KK: That’s a great lesson for avoiding the law of unintended consequences.
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ACEP Now: Vol 35 – No 07 – July 2016TO: These definitions are about measurement, not management. For emergency physicians, diagnosis tells us what to do; diagnosis equals decision. The next point has to ask, who we are missing? When you look at qSOFA, it’s easy to find what the consequences are for those whom we may not find. We use lactate as a screening tool. If you look at ProCESS, ProMISe, and ARISE, greater than 90 percent of those patients were screened with lactate and probably between 30 percent and almost 50 percent of patients were identified with lactate alone. If we don’t draw the lactate on patients who aren’t hypotensive, then how do we know how many we may miss?
2 Responses to “A Marriage of Old Data and New Concepts: New Sepsis Definitions Raise Concerns about Accuracy, Usefulness in Emergency Medicine”
July 26, 2016
Lawrence LynnWe were encouraged that sepsis science was trying to move toward evidenced based crteria from the guessed SIRS of the past. The use of the guessed SIRS criteria in clinical trials was not scientific and was producing runaway inflation of the sepsis diagnosis, inflating the perceived benefit of intervention and rendering any positive benefit of RCT (in comparison with a control population) nonreproducible. SIRS had to be abandoned as the standard definition used in sepsis research.
However the needs of clinical medicine in a vacuum of objective data are different than the needs of scientists in that same vacuum. It is therefore not surprising that ER physcians have been disappointed with qSOFA which was derived from an effort to improve the scientific study of sepsis.
The problem is that there was no determination of when, on the timeline of the different dynamic relational patterns of common sepsis phenotypes, qSOFA criteria are met.
To illustrate this, consider the case of Rory Staunton. He was alert, non hypotensive, yet he had tachypnea, over 50% bands (evolving neutrophilic failure), a low platelet count (although not down to 100) and evidence of infection. Later (perhaps too late) he had hypotension and mental status changes.
When we called for a new sepsis definition we expected that the data from large trials would be reviewed to determine the dynamic relational patterns of the common sepsis phenotypes and then EARLY markers components of the patterns selected as a screening definition with the addition of the time patterns in the scientific definition. Alas, in the statistical search for correlates, time was, once again, overlooked. ER docs never overlook time as the essence of the word “emergency” is time.
The problem with setting up late criteria is the risk of a false sense of security. Altered mental state and hypotension are proven markers of all sepsis phenotypes but so is death. All three are often late findings and markers of diagnostic delay.
July 31, 2016
Mike GertzThe recommendations by the surviving sepsis campaign have always been to only screen patients who are “seriously ill appearing.” As a specialty, we know what that means. The problem is that we are trying to screen everyone with a lot of resultant noise. In the end, sepsis is like pornography, difficult to define but we all know it when we see it.