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How Emergency Physicians Can Thrive in Value-Based Care Landscapes

By Tehreem Rehman, MD, MPH, MBA, on behalf of the ACEP Reimbursement Committee | on June 24, 2025 | 0 Comment
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The health care landscape is shifting, and emergency physicians are at the forefront of change. Although the traditional fee-for-service (FFS) model has dominated health care reimbursement for years, value-based care is emerging. This transition, partly driven by the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), aims to reward clinicians for the quality of care they deliver rather than the quantity of services they provide.

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Although this shift presents challenges, it also offers significant opportunities for emergency physicians. By embracing value-based care, emergency physicians can improve patient outcomes and secure their financial future in an evolving health care system.

Value-Based Care in Emergency Medicine

The transition to value-based care has been slower than anticipated, particularly for specialties like emergency medicine that need more predefined patient populations or well-defined episodes of care. However, emergency physicians have made significant strides in recent years.

A recent survey of emergency physicians revealed numerous examples of successful value-based models currently in place. These models primarily involve commercial payers, but there are also successful models with Medicaid and Medicare managed care carriers.

The structure of these models varies widely, but they generally fall into three categories:

FFS plus quality (pay for performance): This model combines traditional FFS reimbursement with additional payments to meet specific quality metrics. Because of its lower administrative burden and financial risk, it’s a good entry point for emergency physicians who are new to value-based care.

Shared savings: In this model, physicians receive additional payments if the total cost of care for a defined population is below a benchmark while maintaining or improving quality. Some models also include shared risk, meaning physicians may face financial penalties if costs exceed the benchmark.

Capitation: This model pays physicians a flat amount per patient in the population they manage, regardless of the services provided. It’s the most sustainable model but also requires the most administrative support.

Important Considerations

As emergency physicians navigate the transition to value-based care, several key considerations should guide their decisions:

Start with FFS plus quality: This model offers a low-risk way to gain experience with value-based care before progressing to more complex models.

Clear definitions: Ensuring that agreements with payers include clear definitions of desired outcomes and eligible populations is critical. For example, discharge risk stratification tools, such as the emergency department (ED) revisit algorithm or the SHOUT scoring system (see Table 1), provide structured approaches to identifying patient risk levels for readmission, follow-up failure, or adverse outcomes. When incorporated into payer agreements, these tools can standardize metrics and ensure that both parties align on patient stratification criteria, improving reimbursement accuracy, and care continuity.

Table 1: Discharge Risk Stratification and Assessment Tools

Screening Tool Year Published Structure Limitations
ED revisit algorithm 2014 Estimates risk of a 30-day revisit, with score range of 0 to 100. Multiple inputs including demographics (age), encounter history (chronic disease diagnosis), encounter diagnosis, demographics (patient education), clinical facility, encounter history (visit type counts), encounter lab test results, past year outpatient prescriptions, encounter procedure, encounter history (past year counts of total outpatient prescriptions, lab and radiology tests), and demographics (patient income) Data from Maine Health Information Exchange. No external validation.
Risk score predicting inpatient admission or death/ICU placement within 7 days of ED discharge 2018 Patients with the greatest likelihood and highest score (score of 40) for developing an inpatient admission within seven days of discharge were age ≥ 80 years old (score of 1), BMI <18.5 (score of 3), SBP ≤120 mm Hg (score of 2), HR ≥ 100 bpm (score of 4), Charlson comorbidity index score of 7 or greater (score of 8), ED LOS of 10–24 hours (score of 7), and an inpatient admission in the past seven days (score of 5). Patients at greatest risk for death or an ICU placement (score of 19) were male (score of 1), age ≥ 80 years old (score of 1), BMI <18.5 (score of 3), SBP ≤120 mmHg (Score of 2), HR ≥100 bpm (score of 3), CCI score of 7+ (Score of 5), and ED LOS of 10–24 hours (score of 4). Single health system retrospective cohort study of patients older than 65 years old. 75% of data was the derivation sample and 25% was the validation sample. No external validation.
Screening for Healthcare fOllow-Up Tool (SHOUT) scoring system 2019 Discharge failure was defined as ED revisits within a short period of time from the index ED visit (eg, 3 , 7, 14 or 30 days) and poor patient adherence to PCP or specialist clinic follow-up. Nine independent variables predicting discharge failures were: (1) homelessness, (2) PCP status, (3) male sex, (4) history of chronic diseases, (5) lack of insurance, (6) low level of acuity (ESI 4–5), (7) White race/ethnicity, (8) arriving by health-assisted transportation and (9) abnormal vital signs at discharge. Single site retrospective cohort study. 50% of the data was the derivation sample and 50% wad the validation sample. No external validation.
Prediction of 72-hour AND 9-day ED bouncebacks 2019 Gradient boosting machine learning model for ED return visits within 72 hours and 9 days with pertinent variables of mean age, male gender, arrival by ambulance, mean triage heart rate, ESI, Medicaid insurance, mean number of previous ED visits, prevalence of COPD or CHD, and prevalence of alcohol or substance use. Single site with no external validation.

Data exchange: Focus on improving the ease and volume of data exchange between emergency physicians and other stakeholders, such as health plans and hospitals. Risk stratification tools often require integrating data on demographics, encounter history, clinical metrics, and social determinants of health. Standardized and transparent data sharing can enhance tool utility and payer–clinician alignment.

Proactive collaboration with payers: Proactive outreach to leaders of commercial or managed care insurance plans can be a productive way to create opportunities centered on value-based care. Meeting with key players, such as physicians or quality executives, can initiate discussions on shared pain points, a shared vision for patient care, and potential sources of funding for alternative payment models. This approach fosters alignment on objectives and paves the way for sustainable partnerships that benefit patients and providers alike.

Strategies to Increase Access to Alternative Payment Models (APMs)

To further accelerate the adoption of value-based care in emergency medicine, several strategies are recommended:

Essential building blocks: Advocate for financial support for transitions of care from the ED to outpatient settings, continued flexibility for telehealth services, and tools to help determine appropriate care settings for patients. Some specific recommended strategies include applying the Transitional Care Management (TCM) CPT codes to the post-ED space. TCM CPT codes are an ACEP-endorsed tool to support emergency physicians in identifying patients safe for discharge, along with reimbursement opportunities targeting health-related social need (HRSN) interventions in the ED.

Education: Provide ongoing education to emergency physicians and their practice groups about the benefits of APMs and the tools available to pursue them.

Collaboration: Promote the adoption of APMs with external stakeholders, including policymakers and payers.

The transition to value-based care has challenges, but the potential rewards are significant. By embracing this new model, emergency physicians can improve patient care and position themselves for success in a rapidly changing health care landscape. The future of emergency medicine lies in value-based care. Emergency physicians can remain leaders in delivering high-quality, cost-effective patient care by taking proactive steps to adapt to this new reality.


Dr. Rehman is an assistant medical director and assistant professor of emergency medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital.

Topics: alternative payment modelfee for servicepay-for-performancePayment ModelQualityReimbursementRisk StratificationTransitions of Carevalue-based care

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